Pandemic Consequences, Albanian Economy Lost about 50.000 Jobs
Pandemic has had severe impact on the Albanian economy. Governor Gent Sejko said on Thursday during the 14th SEE Economic Research Workshop that the recent data suggest that Albanian economy experienced the strongest contraction of gross domestic product in the last two decades, at -10.2% during the second quarter of 2020.
"Macro data on labour markets show that compared to the end of 2019, the Albanian economy lost about 50 thousand jobs, equal to an annual decline in employment of 3.6%. As a result of this the unemployment rate increased to 11.9%. Responding to such developments, inflation in the third quarter decreased to 1.4%, from 1.9% in the previous quarter. Despite these negative shocks, the measures taken by the Bank of Albania have provided the necessary monetary stimulus to support the normal functioning of the financial markets and to ensure the flow of credit in the economy. Interest rates for households and businesses are low and liquidity pressures are under control, while the exchange rate appears stable," said Sejko.
According to him, the Albanian banking sector remains sound, despite the challenges posed by the pandemic. The immediate operational measures taken by banks, as well as the macro and micro prudential measures taken by the Bank of Albania, ensured not only a continuation of the operation of the critical functions of the banks, but also satisfactory financial intermediation despite the great shock suffered by the economy.
"Credit to economy is growing (it grew by 6.3% in the third quarter 2020), capital is adequate and the banks' balance sheets remain healthy, signalling their ability to withstand first-round shocks. We are optimistic that the economic activity is expected to revitalize over the next two years. However, the economic outlook for the future is accompanied by a high level of uncertainty and downside risks. In the short term, the risks are mostly related to the uncertainty of the pandemic itself, its severity, duration, and potential return of restricting measures. In the long run, the risks relate to the long-term damage sustained by the productive capacities and domestic demand, as well as potential structural change sustained in the economy as a result of the altered behaviour of economic agents. We are sure that research based evidence, analysis and forecasts will provide accurate and timely information for policy orientation and coordination," added Governor.